Sportivo Barracasvs
El Porvenir
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera C · 7/28/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Sportivo Barracas are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while El Porvenir are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDDL), averaging 0.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Sportivo Barracas hold a 5.5-point power-rating edge (52.3 v 46.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 28.8% in the Primera C, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 14% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
41.4%
Model confidence
28.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 0.20/0.80