Sportist Svogevs
Nesebar
LIVEBulgaria · Second League · 8/16/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sportist Svoge · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Sportist Svoge are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Nesebar are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Sportist Svoge hold a 26.8-point power-rating edge (59.1 v 32.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.9% in the Second League, while Sportist Svoge holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sportist Svoge
Probability
48.9%
Model confidence
48.9%
Sportist Svoge has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00