GGOALVIO

Panama · Liga Panameña de Fútbol · 8/9/2026, 11:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Sporting San Miguelito are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Alianza FC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and alianza FC hold a 12.1-point power-rating edge (44.4 v 56.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Liga Panameña de Fútbol, favouring a draw with 14.5% confidence, a 41% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

32.8%

Model confidence

14.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sporting San MiguelitoLDLWL

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Alianza FCLWDLD

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Sporting San MiguelitoAlianza FC
35.2Attack48.5
57.4Defence60.6
35.2Form51.5
44.4Power56.5
0.86xG1.17
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