GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 5/7/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

LA Galaxy II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3

Highconfidence

Sporting KC II are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while LA Galaxy II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and LA Galaxy II hold a 28.6-point power-rating edge (32.5 v 61.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 75.7% in the MLS Next Pro, while LA Galaxy II holds the strongest overall chance at 76% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

LA Galaxy II

Probability

75.7%

Model confidence

75.7%

LA Galaxy II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sporting KC IIDLWDL

GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
LA Galaxy IILLDWW

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Sporting KC IILA Galaxy II
43.9Attack68.2
16.7Defence57.6
28.8Form57.6
32.5Power61.2
1.13xG3.45
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