GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 5/2/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Seattle Sounders · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Sporting Kansas City are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 3.60 conceded, while Seattle Sounders are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Seattle Sounders hold a 22.1-point power-rating edge (27.5 v 49.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.9% in the Major League Soccer, while Seattle Sounders holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Seattle Sounders

Probability

58.9%

Model confidence

58.9%

Seattle Sounders has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sporting Kansas CityLLLLL

GF 3 · GA 18 · avg 0.60/3.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Seattle SoundersWWWDW

GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Sporting Kansas CitySeattle Sounders
31.6Attack39.2
15.8Defence56.9
24.6Form47.1
27.5Power49.6
0.83xG1.91
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