Sporting Kansas Cityvs
San Diego
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 3/8/2026, 1:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
San Diego · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Sporting Kansas City are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while San Diego are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and San Diego hold a 22.1-point power-rating edge (27.5 v 49.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 71.1% in the Major League Soccer, while San Diego holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
San Diego
Probability
71.1%
Model confidence
71.1%
San Diego has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60