GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 3/8/2026, 1:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

San Diego · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Sporting Kansas City are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while San Diego are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and San Diego hold a 22.1-point power-rating edge (27.5 v 49.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 71.1% in the Major League Soccer, while San Diego holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

San Diego

Probability

71.1%

Model confidence

71.1%

San Diego has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sporting Kansas CityDLWWL

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
San DiegoWWWLW

GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Sporting Kansas CitySan Diego
31.6Attack57.9
15.8Defence49.1
24.6Form42.1
27.5Power49.6
0.98xG2.81
View match centre →