GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 5/24/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

New York Red Bulls · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Sporting Kansas City are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.80 conceded, while New York Red Bulls are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and New York Red Bulls hold a 17.6-point power-rating edge (27.5 v 45.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.8% in the Major League Soccer, while New York Red Bulls holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

New York Red Bulls

Probability

58.8%

Model confidence

58.8%

New York Red Bulls has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sporting Kansas CityWWLDL

GF 6 · GA 14 · avg 1.20/2.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
New York Red BullsDWWLL

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Sporting Kansas CityNew York Red Bulls
31.6Attack53.7
15.8Defence27.8
24.6Form46.3
27.5Power45.0
1.40xG2.59
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