GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 2/11/2026, 9:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sporting Kansas City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Sporting Kansas City are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while New York City FC are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Sporting Kansas City hold an 11.5-point power-rating edge (58.9 v 47.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Sporting Kansas City holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sporting Kansas City

Probability

44.3%

Model confidence

44.3%

Sporting Kansas City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sporting Kansas CityLLLWD

GF 1 · GA 5 · avg 0.20/1.00

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
New York City FCDWDLW

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Sporting Kansas CityNew York City FC
80.0Attack40.7
40.0Defence55.6
53.3Form37.0
58.9Power47.4
2.06xG1.29
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