Sporting Kansas Cityvs
Minnesota United FC
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 7/23/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Minnesota United FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Sporting Kansas City are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Minnesota United FC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Minnesota United FC hold an 18.9-point power-rating edge (28.1 v 47.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.2% in the Major League Soccer, while Minnesota United FC holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Minnesota United FC
Probability
55.5%
Model confidence
12.2%
Minnesota United FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60