Sporting Kansas Cityvs
Los Angeles Galaxy
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 5/14/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Los Angeles Galaxy · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Sporting Kansas City are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 3.60 conceded, while Los Angeles Galaxy are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Los Angeles Galaxy hold a 16.7-point power-rating edge (27.5 v 44.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.3% in the Major League Soccer, while Los Angeles Galaxy holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Los Angeles Galaxy
Probability
55.3%
Model confidence
55.3%
Los Angeles Galaxy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 18 · avg 0.40/3.60
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40