GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 8/2/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Houston Dynamo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Sporting Kansas City are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Houston Dynamo are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Houston Dynamo hold a 30.1-point power-rating edge (27.5 v 57.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 70.2% in the Major League Soccer, while Houston Dynamo holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Houston Dynamo

Probability

70.2%

Model confidence

70.2%

Houston Dynamo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sporting Kansas CityLWLLW

GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Houston DynamoWDWWD

GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Sporting Kansas CityHouston Dynamo
31.6Attack49.1
15.8Defence57.9
24.6Form61.4
27.5Power57.6
0.79xG2.46
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