GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 1/24/2026, 2:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chicago Fire · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Sporting Kansas City are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Chicago Fire are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Chicago Fire hold an 11.8-point power-rating edge (58.9 v 70.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.0% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Chicago Fire holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chicago Fire

Probability

46.0%

Model confidence

46.0%

Chicago Fire has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sporting Kansas CityWDLLL

GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Chicago FireLDWDD

GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Sporting Kansas CityChicago Fire
80.0Attack85.7
40.0Defence71.4
53.3Form66.7
58.9Power70.7
1.55xG2.50
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