GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 2/14/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sporting Kansas City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Highconfidence

Sporting Kansas City are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Austin are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Sporting Kansas City hold a 3.9-point power-rating edge (58.9 v 55.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Sporting Kansas City holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 81% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sporting Kansas City

Probability

36.8%

Model confidence

36.8%

Sporting Kansas City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sporting Kansas CityWLLLW

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
AustinDLLWD

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Sporting Kansas CityAustin
80.0Attack81.0
40.0Defence47.6
53.3Form42.9
58.9Power55.1
2.35xG2.27
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