GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 7/15/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Pittsburgh Riverhounds · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Sporting JAX are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 3.80 conceded, while Pittsburgh Riverhounds are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Pittsburgh Riverhounds hold a 26.1-point power-rating edge (25.1 v 51.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.1% in the USL Championship, while Pittsburgh Riverhounds holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Pittsburgh Riverhounds

Probability

52.1%

Model confidence

52.1%

Pittsburgh Riverhounds has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sporting JAXLDLLL

GF 7 · GA 19 · avg 1.40/3.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Pittsburgh RiverhoundsWLDWD

GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Sporting JAXPittsburgh Riverhounds
40.4Attack35.1
10.5Defence64.9
14.0Form47.4
25.1Power51.2
0.84xG1.63
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