GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 3/25/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Miami FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Sporting JAX are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Miami FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Miami FC hold an 18.4-point power-rating edge (25.1 v 43.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.8% in the USL Championship, while Miami FC holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Miami FC

Probability

45.8%

Model confidence

45.8%

Miami FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sporting JAXDLLWD

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Miami FCDLWWL

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Sporting JAXMiami FC
40.4Attack40.0
10.5Defence46.7
14.0Form36.7
25.1Power43.5
1.31xG1.81
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