Sporting JAXvs
Miami FC
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 3/25/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Miami FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Sporting JAX are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Miami FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Miami FC hold an 18.4-point power-rating edge (25.1 v 43.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.8% in the USL Championship, while Miami FC holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Miami FC
Probability
45.8%
Model confidence
45.8%
Miami FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40