Sporting JAXvs
Indy Eleven
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 8/15/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Indy Eleven · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Sporting JAX are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Indy Eleven are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Indy Eleven hold a 23.9-point power-rating edge (25.1 v 49.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.2% in the USL Championship, while Indy Eleven holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Indy Eleven
Probability
54.8%
Model confidence
12.2%
Indy Eleven has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 14 · avg 0.80/2.80
GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80