GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 6/13/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Detroit City · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Sporting JAX are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Detroit City are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDLDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Detroit City hold a 34.1-point power-rating edge (25.1 v 59.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 68.6% in the USL Championship, while Detroit City holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Detroit City

Probability

68.6%

Model confidence

68.6%

Detroit City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sporting JAXLLDDD

GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Detroit CityDDLDW

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Sporting JAXDetroit City
40.4Attack48.1
10.5Defence68.5
14.0Form57.4
25.1Power59.2
0.74xG2.29
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