GGOALVIO

Belgium · Challenger Pro League · 8/14/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dender · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Sporting Hasselt are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 3.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Dender are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Dender hold a 12.1-point power-rating edge (50.0 v 62.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.7% in the Challenger Pro League, while Dender holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dender

Probability

50.1%

Model confidence

12.7%

Dender has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sporting HasseltWDWWL

GF 19 · GA 4 · avg 3.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
DenderLLDLL

GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Sporting HasseltDender
50.0Attack61.1
50.0Defence64.4
50.0Form60.0
50.0Power62.1
1.08xG1.69
View match centre →