Sporting Gijonvs
Sabadell
SCHEDULEDSpain · Segunda División · 8/17/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sporting Gijon · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Sporting Gijon are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Sabadell are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Sporting Gijon hold a 3.6-point power-rating edge (53.6 v 50.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.7% in the Segunda División, while Sporting Gijon holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sporting Gijon
Probability
42.0%
Model confidence
15.7%
Sporting Gijon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40