GGOALVIO

Peru · Liga Women · 6/20/2026, 6:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sporting Cristal W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1

Highconfidence

Sporting Cristal W are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while FBC Melgar W are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Sporting Cristal W hold a 26.5-point power-rating edge (72.1 v 45.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.6% in the Liga Women, while Sporting Cristal W holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 88% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sporting Cristal W

Probability

51.6%

Model confidence

51.6%

Sporting Cristal W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sporting Cristal WLWWWL

GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
FBC Melgar WDDLWW

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Sporting Cristal WFBC Melgar W
100.0Attack62.2
61.7Defence37.8
68.3Form44.4
72.1Power45.6
4.13xG1.27
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