GGOALVIO

Peru · Primera División · 4/3/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sporting Cristal · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Sporting Cristal are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while UCV Moquegua are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Sporting Cristal hold a 6.8-point power-rating edge (48.6 v 41.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.3% in the Primera División, while Sporting Cristal holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sporting Cristal

Probability

49.3%

Model confidence

49.3%

Sporting Cristal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sporting CristalLWLWW

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
UCV MoqueguaLLWDW

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Sporting CristalUCV Moquegua
52.4Attack30.2
47.6Defence55.6
41.3Form33.3
48.6Power41.8
1.52xG0.85
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