GGOALVIO

Peru · Primera División · 8/16/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sporting Cristal · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Sporting Cristal are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Sport Huancayo are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Sporting Cristal hold a 4.8-point power-rating edge (48.6 v 43.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.8% in the Primera División, while Sporting Cristal holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sporting Cristal

Probability

50.5%

Model confidence

11.8%

Sporting Cristal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sporting CristalDWLLD

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Sport HuancayoDWWLW

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Sporting CristalSport Huancayo
52.4Attack42.9
47.6Defence46.0
41.3Form36.5
48.6Power43.8
1.84xG1.21
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