GGOALVIO

Peru · Primera División · 7/17/2026, 8:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Deportivo Garcilaso · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Sporting Cristal are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Deportivo Garcilaso are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Garcilaso hold an 8.4-point power-rating edge (48.6 v 57.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.6% in the Primera División, while Deportivo Garcilaso holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Deportivo Garcilaso

Probability

36.6%

Model confidence

36.6%

Deportivo Garcilaso has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sporting CristalDWWDL

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Deportivo GarcilasoDWLDW

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Sporting CristalDeportivo Garcilaso
52.4Attack41.3
47.6Defence68.3
41.3Form55.6
48.6Power57.0
1.04xG1.22
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