Sporting Cristalvs
Deportivo Garcilaso
COMPLETEDPeru · Primera División · 7/17/2026, 8:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo Garcilaso · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Sporting Cristal are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Deportivo Garcilaso are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Garcilaso hold an 8.4-point power-rating edge (48.6 v 57.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.6% in the Primera División, while Deportivo Garcilaso holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Deportivo Garcilaso
Probability
36.6%
Model confidence
36.6%
Deportivo Garcilaso has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80