Sporting Cristalvs
Cusco
COMPLETEDPeru · Primera División · 5/3/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sporting Cristal · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Sporting Cristal are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Cusco are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Cusco hold a 4.5-point power-rating edge (48.6 v 53.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.9% in the Primera División, while Sporting Cristal holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sporting Cristal
Probability
36.9%
Model confidence
36.9%
Sporting Cristal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40