GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Libertadores · 3/11/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sporting Cristal · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Sporting Cristal are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Carabobo FC are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Sporting Cristal hold a 5.9-point power-rating edge (25.4 v 19.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.9% in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, while Sporting Cristal holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sporting Cristal

Probability

43.9%

Model confidence

43.9%

Sporting Cristal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sporting CristalWWLDD

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Carabobo FCDLDWD

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Sporting CristalCarabobo FC
33.3Attack11.1
11.1Defence27.8
22.2Form5.6
25.4Power19.5
1.52xG1.08
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