Sporting Cristalvs
Carabobo FC
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Libertadores · 3/11/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sporting Cristal · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Sporting Cristal are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Carabobo FC are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Sporting Cristal hold a 5.9-point power-rating edge (25.4 v 19.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.9% in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, while Sporting Cristal holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sporting Cristal
Probability
43.9%
Model confidence
43.9%
Sporting Cristal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60