Sporting Cristalvs
Alianza Atletico
COMPLETEDPeru · Primera División · 3/7/2026, 8:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sporting Cristal · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Sporting Cristal are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Alianza Atletico are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 48.6 against 48.9. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.9% in the Primera División, while Sporting Cristal holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sporting Cristal
Probability
40.1%
Model confidence
13.9%
Sporting Cristal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40