GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Libertadores · 2/25/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

2 de Mayo · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Sporting Cristal are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while 2 de Mayo are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and 2 de Mayo hold a 30.8-point power-rating edge (25.4 v 56.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.8% in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, while 2 de Mayo holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

2 de Mayo

Probability

48.8%

Model confidence

48.8%

2 de Mayo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sporting CristalDDWLD

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
2 de MayoDDWDL

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Sporting Cristal2 de Mayo
33.3Attack33.3
11.1Defence75.0
22.2Form50.0
25.4Power56.2
0.82xG1.48
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