GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/31/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sporting CP · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Sporting CP are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 4.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Nottingham Forest are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Sporting CP hold a 15.9-point power-rating edge (74.7 v 58.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.0% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Sporting CP holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sporting CP

Probability

37.0%

Model confidence

37.0%

Sporting CP has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sporting CPWWWWW

GF 20 · GA 2 · avg 4.00/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Nottingham ForestWDWWD

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Sporting CPNottingham Forest
77.8Attack48.1
66.7Defence66.7
77.8Form59.3
74.7Power58.9
1.48xG1.23
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