GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/25/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sporting CP · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Sporting CP are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 4.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Monaco are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Sporting CP hold a 21.6-point power-rating edge (74.7 v 53.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Sporting CP holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sporting CP

Probability

49.9%

Model confidence

10.3%

Sporting CP has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sporting CPWWWWW

GF 23 · GA 3 · avg 4.60/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
MonacoWLLWD

GF 13 · GA 11 · avg 2.60/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Sporting CPMonaco
77.8Attack58.3
66.7Defence54.2
77.8Form45.8
74.7Power53.2
2.02xG1.42
View match centre →