GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/14/2026, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sporting CP · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Sporting CP are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Celtic are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Celtic hold a 2.9-point power-rating edge (74.7 v 77.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Sporting CP holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sporting CP

Probability

38.9%

Model confidence

38.9%

Sporting CP has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sporting CPWWWDD

GF 15 · GA 5 · avg 3.00/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
CelticDWWWW

GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Sporting CPCeltic
77.8Attack100.0
66.7Defence38.9
77.8Form88.9
74.7Power77.6
2.28xG1.99
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