GGOALVIO

Portugal · Segunda Liga · 8/15/2026, 2:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Sporting CP B are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Chaves are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Chaves hold a 3.4-point power-rating edge (50.0 v 53.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 22.0% in the Segunda Liga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

38.2%

Model confidence

22.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sporting CP BWLDDL

GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.40/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
ChavesLLLWL

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Sporting CP BChaves
40.2Attack39.2
66.7Defence66.7
41.2Form50.0
50.0Power53.4
0.85xG0.72
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