Sporting CP Bvs
Chaves
SCHEDULEDPortugal · Segunda Liga · 8/15/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Sporting CP B are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Chaves are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Chaves hold a 3.4-point power-rating edge (50.0 v 53.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 22.0% in the Segunda Liga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
38.2%
Model confidence
22.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.40/0.60
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20