GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie B · 7/10/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Sport Recife are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Botafogo SP are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Sport Recife hold a 5.2-point power-rating edge (56.3 v 51.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.6% in the Serie B, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

41.6%

Model confidence

41.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sport RecifeLLDDD

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Botafogo SPWLWWL

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Sport RecifeBotafogo SP
41.3Attack41.3
69.8Defence65.1
50.8Form42.9
56.3Power51.1
0.94xG0.67
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