GGOALVIO

Peru · Primera División · 5/12/2026, 1:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Sport Boys are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Universitario are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Universitario hold a 10.1-point power-rating edge (48.6 v 58.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.9% in the Primera División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

43.9%

Model confidence

43.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sport BoysLDWLL

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
UniversitarioLWWLW

GF 14 · GA 8 · avg 2.80/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Sport BoysUniversitario
30.2Attack46.0
66.7Defence68.3
42.9Form57.1
48.6Power58.7
0.60xG0.87
View match centre →