GGOALVIO

Peru · Primera División · 3/1/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Sport Boys are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while UCV Moquegua are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Sport Boys hold a 6.8-point power-rating edge (48.6 v 41.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.2% in the Primera División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

44.2%

Model confidence

44.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sport BoysLWLDL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
UCV MoqueguaWLLLL

GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Sport BoysUCV Moquegua
30.2Attack30.2
66.7Defence55.6
42.9Form33.3
48.6Power41.8
0.88xG0.54
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