GGOALVIO

Peru · Primera División · 4/15/2026, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Sport Boys are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while FBC Melgar are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and FBC Melgar hold a 9.2-point power-rating edge (48.6 v 57.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.6% in the Primera División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

38.6%

Model confidence

38.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sport BoysLWLLD

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
FBC MelgarLDDLD

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Sport BoysFBC Melgar
30.2Attack57.1
66.7Defence58.7
42.9Form55.6
48.6Power57.8
0.78xG1.07
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