Sport Boysvs
Alianza Lima
COMPLETEDPeru · Primera División · 8/9/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Alianza Lima · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Sport Boys are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Alianza Lima are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and alianza Lima hold a 23.3-point power-rating edge (48.6 v 71.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely result in the Primera División, favouring Alianza Lima with 21.8% confidence, a 27% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Alianza Lima
Probability
53.0%
Model confidence
21.8%
Alianza Lima has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 1 · avg 1.40/0.20
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80