GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One · 3/15/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Union Omaha · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Spokane Velocity are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Union Omaha are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Union Omaha hold a 10.4-point power-rating edge (54.3 v 64.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.5% in the USL League One, while Union Omaha holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Union Omaha

Probability

39.5%

Model confidence

39.5%

Union Omaha has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Spokane VelocityLDDDL

GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Union OmahaLLDDW

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Spokane VelocityUnion Omaha
43.9Attack56.7
59.6Defence63.3
56.1Form68.3
54.3Power64.7
1.01xG1.30
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