GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One · 6/21/2026, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

One Knoxville · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Spokane Velocity are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while One Knoxville are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and One Knoxville hold a 9.0-point power-rating edge (52.8 v 61.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.2% in the USL League One, while One Knoxville holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

One Knoxville

Probability

41.2%

Model confidence

41.2%

One Knoxville has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Spokane VelocityLWLWW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
One KnoxvilleWDWDL

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Spokane VelocityOne Knoxville
45.0Attack56.7
56.7Defence63.3
53.3Form61.7
52.8Power61.8
1.04xG1.39
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