GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One · 5/10/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Spokane Velocity · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Spokane Velocity are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Naples are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Spokane Velocity hold a 12.8-point power-rating edge (54.3 v 41.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.0% in the USL League One, while Spokane Velocity holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Spokane Velocity

Probability

53.0%

Model confidence

53.0%

Spokane Velocity has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Spokane VelocityDLWWD

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
NaplesLLDWW

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Spokane VelocityNaples
43.9Attack36.8
59.6Defence45.6
56.1Form35.1
54.3Power41.5
1.61xG0.78
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