GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One · 7/2/2026, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Forward Madison · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Spokane Velocity are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Forward Madison are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Forward Madison hold a 10.2-point power-rating edge (54.3 v 64.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.3% in the USL League One, while Forward Madison holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Forward Madison

Probability

46.3%

Model confidence

46.3%

Forward Madison has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Spokane VelocityWLLWL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Forward MadisonWDWLL

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Spokane VelocityForward Madison
43.9Attack66.7
59.6Defence64.9
56.1Form63.2
54.3Power64.5
0.97xG1.52
View match centre →