GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One · 7/26/2026, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Spokane Velocity are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Fort Wayne are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Spokane Velocity hold a 2.6-point power-rating edge (54.3 v 51.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.8% in the USL League One, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

36.8%

Model confidence

36.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Spokane VelocityWWWLL

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Fort WayneWLLWW

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Spokane VelocityFort Wayne
43.9Attack43.9
59.6Defence61.4
56.1Form47.4
54.3Power51.6
1.11xG0.96
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