GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One · 7/23/2026, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Charlotte Independence · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Spokane Velocity are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Charlotte Independence are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Charlotte Independence hold an 11.6-point power-rating edge (54.3 v 65.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.2% in the USL League One, while Charlotte Independence holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Charlotte Independence

Probability

44.2%

Model confidence

44.2%

Charlotte Independence has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Spokane VelocityWWLLW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Charlotte IndependenceLDDWW

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Spokane VelocityCharlotte Independence
43.9Attack75.4
59.6Defence52.6
56.1Form68.4
54.3Power65.9
1.30xG1.73
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