GGOALVIO

Moldova · Liga 1 · 8/8/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Spartanii Selemet · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Lowconfidence

Spartanii Selemet are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while FCM Ungheni are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and FCM Ungheni hold a 10.3-point power-rating edge (21.0 v 31.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.5% in the Liga 1, while Spartanii Selemet holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Spartanii Selemet

Probability

39.9%

Model confidence

9.5%

Spartanii Selemet has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Spartanii SelemetLLWLL

GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
FCM UngheniLLLWW

GF 14 · GA 12 · avg 2.80/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Spartanii SelemetFCM Ungheni
16.7Attack33.3
16.7Defence33.3
16.7Form16.7
21.0Power31.3
1.90xG1.81
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