Spartak Varnavs
Septemvri Sofia
SCHEDULEDBulgaria · First League · 8/17/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Spartak Varna · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0
Spartak Varna are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Septemvri Sofia are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Spartak Varna hold a 48.9-point power-rating edge (74.7 v 25.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.4% in the First League, while Spartak Varna holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Spartak Varna
Probability
64.9%
Model confidence
13.4%
Spartak Varna has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00