Spartak VarnavsLokomotiv Plovdiv

Spartak Varna are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Lokomotiv Plovdiv are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Spartak Varna hold a 38.2-point power-rating edge (74.7 v 36.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.5% in the First League, while Spartak Varna holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.