GGOALVIO

Bulgaria · First League · 7/17/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Spartak Varna · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Spartak Varna are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while CSKA 1948 are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 74.7 against 75.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.9% in the First League, while Spartak Varna holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Spartak Varna

Probability

38.9%

Model confidence

38.9%

Spartak Varna has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Spartak VarnaWDLDW

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
CSKA 1948WLDWW

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Spartak VarnaCSKA 1948
66.7Attack75.0
77.8Defence58.3
77.8Form83.3
74.7Power75.3
1.43xG1.20
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