GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa Conference League · 7/22/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Spartak Trnava · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Spartak Trnava are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while CSKA 1948 are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Spartak Trnava hold a 6.3-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 42.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.0% in the UEFA Europa Conference League, while Spartak Trnava holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Spartak Trnava

Probability

37.0%

Model confidence

37.0%

Spartak Trnava has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Spartak TrnavaWLDDD

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
CSKA 1948DWLDW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Spartak TrnavaCSKA 1948
0.0Attack16.7
100.0Defence75.0
33.3Form25.0
48.3Power42.1
1.18xG0.96
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