GGOALVIO

Bulgaria · Third League - Southeast · 8/8/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Spartak Plovdiv · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Lowconfidence

Spartak Plovdiv are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Sozopol are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Spartak Plovdiv hold a 40.0-point power-rating edge (72.0 v 32.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.8% in the Third League - Southeast, while Spartak Plovdiv holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Spartak Plovdiv

Probability

51.8%

Model confidence

9.8%

Spartak Plovdiv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Spartak PlovdivLWLWW

GF 14 · GA 13 · avg 2.80/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
SozopolWWWDL

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Spartak PlovdivSozopol
100.0Attack100.0
0.0Defence0.0
100.0Form0.0
72.0Power32.0
2.12xG1.43
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