GGOALVIO

Bulgaria · Second League · 8/1/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Spartak Pleven · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Mediumconfidence

Spartak Pleven are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Marek are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Spartak Pleven hold a 29.1-point power-rating edge (72.8 v 43.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.6% in the Second League, while Spartak Pleven holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Spartak Pleven

Probability

52.5%

Model confidence

13.6%

Spartak Pleven has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Spartak PlevenWLLLW

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
MarekWLWLL

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
Spartak PlevenMarek
66.7Attack22.2
66.7Defence66.7
77.8Form33.3
72.8Power43.7
1.52xG0.81
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