GGOALVIO

Bulgaria · Second League · 8/16/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Spartak Pleven · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Spartak Pleven are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Spartak Pleven hold a 43.3-point power-rating edge (72.8 v 29.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.0% in the Second League, while Spartak Pleven holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Spartak Pleven

Probability

58.0%

Model confidence

58.0%

Spartak Pleven has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Spartak PlevenDWWLL

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsaLLDLW

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Spartak PlevenLokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
66.7Attack22.2
66.7Defence44.4
77.8Form11.1
72.8Power29.5
1.82xG0.79
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